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Home » The debate over what’s making it harder for college grads to get hired
The debate over what’s making it harder for college grads to get hired
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The debate over what’s making it harder for college grads to get hired

News RoomBy News RoomJuly 5, 20265 ViewsNo Comments

If you’re just starting your career, your boss might expect to see you in the office more often than your colleagues.

UK fintech company Revolut recently said that, starting in 2027, interns and participants in a program for recent grads will be expected to work in the office at least three days a week. The company will continue to allow other employees to choose whether to work remotely or in person.

Revolut says the change reflects the value of IRL learning for workers early in their careers.

“You don’t just learn from your manager telling you what to do. You actually observe how other people conduct their work,” said Queenie Li, the company’s head of talent programs.

Researchers broadly agree that early-career employees benefit from in-person mentorship and informal learning.

Yet as firms like Revolut draw distinctions between junior and more experienced workers, labor market observers remain divided over the relative roles that remote work, AI, and other factors might play in employers’ willingness to hire entry-level employees in the first place.

It’s an important question because, for decades, college graduates in their early to mid-20s typically had a lower unemployment rate than the overall workforce. That’s no longer the case. Since late 2018, these workers have often faced a higher jobless rate than the workforce as a whole, according to the New York Federal Reserve.

The remote-work effect

Peter John Lambert, a postdoctoral research fellow at the London School of Economics and the University of Warwick, and a colleague recently concluded that remote work better explains the decline in entry-level hiring than AI.

Lambert and Yannick Schindler of the UK’s Ellison Institute of Technology examined hiring and job-listing data across several countries, including the US, before and after the arrival of ChatGPT and the pandemic-driven shift to remote work. They found that the share of entry-level hires fell by as much as 29% in recent years, while hiring for senior positions rose by more than 5%.

One reason it’s easy to conflate AI’s impact with that of remote work, Lambert said, is that both are associated with desk jobs that can be done from afar.

Lambert said remote work is the more likely reason for the drop in the entry-level share of new hires because the slowdown began before GenAI tools emerged, when the technology was still too limited to meaningfully affect hiring decisions.

“It’s only when you compare these things jointly that you start to see a stronger relationship between work-from-home than generative AI,” Lambert said.

New York Fed researchers reached a similar conclusion on the effects of remote work. The setup makes it harder for managers to train and mentor new employees, the researchers said. They studied an undisclosed Fortune 500 company and found that when colleagues are separated, “feedback tapers off dramatically.”

“The loss in feedback is more pronounced for younger workers, who miss out on constructive comments that spur their development,” they wrote.

Not everyone who studies remote work sees it as such a cut-and-dried explanation. Nicholas Bloom, an economics professor at Stanford University, said that remote work, AI, pandemic-era learning losses, and a broader hiring slowdown that’s been particularly hard on tech jobs are all plausible explanations for the weak job market for college graduates. Yet, Bloom said, current data can’t determine which factors are driving the trend or by how much.

The AI effect

In recent research, Mark Ma, an associate professor at the University of Pittsburgh School of Business, found that companies with AI in job titles or job descriptions reduced overall hiring, with the biggest declines in early-career roles.

Ma said that suggests that as firms ramp up spending on AI or hire workers with AI skills, they need fewer entry-level employees.

“They are getting rid of these junior positions because the junior-level work could be more easily replaced by AI,” he said.

Ma said that because remote work rates were higher a few years ago than they are now, recent grads should have had a tougher time then than they do today. Yet, he said, “the problem is getting worse now.”

At the same time, firms with more remote job postings increased, rather than reduced, hiring for junior positions overall, Ma said.

“Those firms are actually growing faster, so they need to hire more people,” he said.

Making learning happen

For those who do get jobs, many welcome at least some in-person work. A 2025 Gallup survey found that only about a quarter of Gen Z workers who could do their jobs remotely wanted to do so full time, compared with about one-third of older generations.

Hybrid setups, where workers spend at least part of the time in the office, can be a “happy medium” and an effective way to ensure early-career workers get the mentorship they need and often say they want, said Brad Hershbein, senior economist at the W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, a think tank.

Remote workers — especially those early in their careers — don’t necessarily pick up on all the things that will make them as productive unless they’re in the office to witness them, he said.

“In some cases, they end up being unhappy because they’re just not learning some things,” Hershbein said.

Making learning happen was part of what drove the thinking behind Revolut’s in-office requirement for interns and some early-career workers, Li said. The firm plans to bring on about 500 interns and graduate-program participants in 2027, up from about 300 this year, she said.



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