Fed meeting updates: Federal Reserve to decide on interest rate cut at final 2025 meeting

The Fed's dual mandate is to keep America's prices stable and the labor market healthy. These two goals have been challenging to balance this year: higher interest rates can help curb inflation but risk cooling down an already chilly labor market.

The Fed is also missing key pieces of data due to the government shutdown. The Bureau of Labor Statistics canceled the October consumer price index and unemployment rate releases, and the November jobs report and inflation data won't be released in time for today's meeting. December's decision will be more difficult without this information.

US stock futures are virtually unmoved as of just before 6:20 a.m. ET. Futures for all three of the Dow Jones, the Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 have moved less than 0.1% lower so far in this morning's trading.

There's a little more movement in European stocks, though nothing too drastic. Britain's benchmark, the FTSE 100, is up 0.2% on the day to 9,660, while Germany's DAX is 0.5% lower.

Away from stocks, the US dollar index is around 0.4% lower. The gold price is 0.3% down at roughly $4,200 per ounce.

Fed leaders have kept monetary policy moderately restrictive in recent months, holding rates steady until September before introducing two quarter-point cuts.

Chair Jerome Powell said in the last meeting that a rate change in December is "not a foregone conclusion, far from it" and "policy is not on a preset course," though on Wednesday morning, CME FedWatch is showing a roughly 90% chance of another quarter-point reduction.

Investors and consumers are hopeful for more cuts. Americans could see more affordable mortgage, auto, and credit card rates in the new year, and businesses would be able to borrow money more easily — a move that could juice the sluggish job market.