On August 6, the first tranche of locked-up SpaceX shares was released. Roughly 911.5 million shares became eligible to trade in a single session.
SPCX went up 6%.
Then it went up again the next day, closing out a two-day gain of about 11% on the exact event everybody had circled on their calendar as the plunge.
I had circled it too.
The Consensus Was Obvious, And Obviously Wrong
SpaceX’s public float before that day was about 639 million shares. The unlock added roughly 143% to the tradeable supply overnight.
Put another way, the freely tradable portion of the company went from about 4.9% of shares outstanding to about 11.8%. The float more than…
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